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Championship · Regular Season - 45 April 25, 2026 18:00
Birmingham
#10 · 63 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Bristol City
#13 · 59 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Birmingham
P. Neumann (ast. D. Gray) 8'
J. E. Solis Romero 29'
(pen.) 81' T. Horvat
Match statistics
10
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
2
1.45
Actual xG
1.15
1
Saves
4
45%
Possession
55%
6
Corners
5
13
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽P. Neumann · ast. D. Gray
8'
J. E. Solis Romero
14'
⚽J. E. Solis Romero
29'
46'
R. Dickie / C. Pring ↕
↕ J. E. Solis Romero / T. Iwata
59'
63'
E. Riis / S. Bell ↕
63'
A. Randell / S. Morsy ↕
↕ D. Gray / T. Doyle
70'
↕ B. Osayi-Samuel / E. Laird
70'
75'
D. Burgzorg
77'
S. Armstrong / D. Burgzorg ↕
81'
(pen.) T. Horvat⚽
J. Stansfield
81'
↕ J. Stansfield / A. Cochrane
85'
C. Klarer
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
50.64%
Birmingham ←
27.8%
X
21.56%
Bristol
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Birmingham) 50.64% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Birmingham
1.41
1.45
+0.04
Bristol
0.83
1.15
+0.32
xG dominance was balanced (1.45 – 1.15). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 45 92
2 Ipswich Ipswich 45 81
3 Millwall Millwall 45 80
4 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 45 79
5 Southampton Southampton 45 77
6 Wrexham Wrexham 45 70
7 Hull City Hull City 45 70
8 Derby Derby 45 69
9 Norwich Norwich 45 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 45 63
11 Swansea Swansea 45 61
12 Preston Preston 45 60
13 Bristol City Bristol City 45 59
14 QPR QPR 45 58
15 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 45 57
16 Watford Watford 45 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 45 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 45 54
19 Charlton Charlton 45 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 45 52
21 West Brom West Brom 45 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 45 47
23 Leicester Leicester 45 43
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 45 -3
Lineups
Birmingham Birmingham 4-2-3-1
25 James Beadle James Beadle G 6.50
31 Kai Wagner Kai Wagner D 6.50
4 Christoph Klarer Christoph Klarer D 6.30
5 Phil Neumann Phil Neumann 1 ⚽ D 8.20
26 Bright Osayi-Samuel Bright Osayi-Samuel 70' D 7.00
14 Jhon Solís Jhon Solís 1 ⚽ 60' M 7.30
8 Seung-Ho Paik Seung-Ho Paik M 6.50
10 Demarai Gray Demarai Gray 1 👟 70' M 6.90
28 Jay Stansfield Jay Stansfield 85' M 6.90
23 Carlos Vicente Carlos Vicente M 7.00
29 August Priske August Priske F 6.70
Bench
20 Alex Cochrane Alex Cochrane 9' D 6.30
2 Ethan Laird Ethan Laird 24' D 6.20
6 Jack Robinson Jack Robinson D
27 Kanya Fujimoto Kanya Fujimoto M
33 Marvin Ducksch Marvin Ducksch F
16 Patrick Roberts Patrick Roberts M
21 Ryan Allsop Ryan Allsop G
7 Tommy Doyle Tommy Doyle 24' M 6.30
24 Tomoki Iwata Tomoki Iwata 34' M 7.00
Bristol City Bristol City 4-2-3-1
23 Radek Vitek Radek Vitek G 7.20
3 Cameron Pring Cameron Pring 45' D 5.90
21 Neto Borges Neto Borges D 6.50
38 Noah Eile Noah Eile D 6.60
2 Ross McCrorie Ross McCrorie D 6.30
40 Sam Morsy Sam Morsy 63' M 6.20
12 Jason Knight Jason Knight M 6.20
10 Scott Twine Scott Twine M 6.30
14 Tomi Horvat Tomi Horvat 1 ⚽ M 7.30
20 Sam Bell Sam Bell 63' M 6.50
11 Delano Burgzorg Delano Burgzorg 77' F 6.20
Bench
4 Adam Randell Adam Randell 31' M 6.30
18 Emil Riis Jacobsen Emil Riis Jacobsen 31' F 6.50
44 George Earthy George Earthy M
19 George Tanner George Tanner D
32 Lewis Thomas Lewis Thomas G
17 Mark Sykes Mark Sykes M
16 Robert Dickie Robert Dickie 49' D 6.90
24 Seb Naylor Seb Naylor D
30 Sinclair Armstrong Sinclair Armstrong 17' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
Phil Neumann
Phil Neumann
D · Birmingham
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 30 pass
Jhon Solís
Jhon Solís
M · Birmingham
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 28 pass
Tomi Horvat
Tomi Horvat
M · Bristol
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 41 pass
Radek Vitek
Radek Vitek
G · Bristol
7.20
· 46 pass
Bright Osayi-Samuel
Bright Osayi-Samuel
D · Birmingham
7.00
· 36 pass
Tomoki Iwata
Tomoki Iwata
M · Birmingham
7.00
· 29 pass
Birmingham Birmingham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
James Beadle G 94 6.50 — — — 25 6% 1 — —
Kai Wagner D 94 6.50 — — — 31 20% — — —
Christoph Klarer D 94 6.30 — — — 41 30% — — —
Phil Neumann D 94 8.20 1 — 1 30 22% 3 — —
Bright Osayi-Samuel D 70 7.00 — — — 36 27% 3 — —
Jhon Solís M 60 7.30 1 — 1 28 23% 1 1 —
Seung-Ho Paik M 94 6.50 — — — 35 30% — — —
Demarai Gray M 70 6.90 — 1 2 9 9% — — —
Jay Stansfield M 85 6.90 — — 2 14 10% 1 1 —
Carlos Vicente M 94 7.00 — — 2 40 31% 1 — —
August Priske F 94 6.70 — — 2 19 9% 1 — —
Alex Cochrane D 9 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
Ethan Laird D 24 6.20 — — — 8 5% — — —
Tommy Doyle M 24 6.30 — — — 14 14% 1 — —
Tomoki Iwata M 34 7.00 — — — 29 22% 1 — —
Bristol City Bristol City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Radek Vitek G 94 7.20 — — — 46 30% — — —
Cameron Pring D 45 5.90 — — — 14 9% — — —
Neto Borges D 94 6.50 — — — 53 41% 1 — —
Noah Eile D 94 6.60 — — — 47 39% — — —
Ross McCrorie D 94 6.30 — — — 39 30% — — —
Sam Morsy M 63 6.20 — — — 51 43% 2 — —
Jason Knight M 94 6.20 — — — 67 53% — — —
Scott Twine M 94 6.30 — — 2 31 25% 3 — —
Tomi Horvat M 94 7.30 1 — 2 41 36% 1 — —
Sam Bell M 63 6.50 — — — 14 7% 2 — —
Delano Burgzorg F 77 6.20 — — — 9 9% — 1 —
Adam Randell M 31 6.30 — — — 23 18% — — —
Emil Riis Jacobsen F 31 6.50 — — — 5 2% — — —
Robert Dickie D 49 6.90 — — — 30 22% — — —
Sinclair Armstrong F 17 6.70 — — — 5 4% 1 — —