Primeira Liga
· Regular Season - 29
April 11, 2026 23:30
✓Model correct — prediction Sporting CP
59'
(ast. Trincao)
D. Braganca
Match statistics
7
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
2
0.37
Actual xG
0.67
1
Saves
3
33%
Possession
67%
4
Corners
13
15
Tackles
9
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Kevin Höög Jansson
45'+2
46'
G. Vagiannidis
/
I. Fresneda
59'
ast. Trincao ·
D. Braganca⚽
I. Stoica
/ Jovane
62'
Robinho
/ J. Meireles
65'
67'
H. Morita
/
D. Braganca
67'
G. Quenda
/
P. Goncalves
B. Langa
/ Otavio
76'
Rodrigo Pinho
/ S. van Hooijdonk
77'
G. Doue
/ J. Encada
77'
87'
Rui Silva
Jefferson Encada
88'
90'+2
O. Diomande
/
Trincao
90'+6
R. Nel
/
G. Catamo
Sydney van Hooijdonk
90'
Pre-match prediction
15.85%
Estrela
18.23%
X
65.91%
Sporting ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sporting CP)
65.91%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.16
0.37
-0.79
2.42
0.67
-1.75
Sporting CP dominated by xG (0.67 vs 0.37).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
40
Renan Ribeiro
G
Renan Ribeiro
G
24
Bruno Langa
76'
D
Bruno Langa
76'
D
14
Bernardo Schappo
D
Bernardo Schappo
D
4
Stefan Leković
D
Stefan Leković
D
21
Max Scholze
D
Max Scholze
D
8
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho
65'
M
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho
65'
M
6
Kevin Höög Jansson
M
Kevin Höög Jansson
M
39
Eddy Doué
77'
M
Eddy Doué
77'
M
10
Ianis Stoica
62'
F
Ianis Stoica
62'
F
9
Rodrigo Pinho
77'
F
Rodrigo Pinho
77'
F
99
Abraham Marcus
F
Abraham Marcus
F
Bench
63
Alex Sola
M
Alex Sola
M
22
David Grilo
G
David Grilo
G
17
Jefferson Encada
13'
D
Jefferson Encada
13'
D
18
Jorge Meireles
25'
F
Jorge Meireles
25'
F
11
Jovane Cabral
28'
F
Jovane Cabral
28'
F
30
Luan Patrick
D
Luan Patrick
D
83
Otavio
14'
D
Otavio
14'
D
20
Sydney van Hooijdonk
13'
F
Sydney van Hooijdonk
13'
F
28
Tom Moustier
M
Tom Moustier
M
1
Rui Silva
G
Rui Silva
G
20
Maximiliano Araújo
D
Maximiliano Araújo
D
6
Zeno Debast
D
Zeno Debast
D
72
Eduardo Quaresma
D
Eduardo Quaresma
D
22
Iván Fresneda
45'
D
Iván Fresneda
45'
D
23
Daniel Bragança
1 ⚽
67'
M
Daniel Bragança
1 ⚽
67'
M
42
Morten Hjulmand
M
Morten Hjulmand
M
8
Pedro Gonçalves
67'
M
Pedro Gonçalves
67'
M
17
Francisco Trincão
1 👟
89'
M
Francisco Trincão
1 👟
89'
M
10
Geny Catamo
89'
M
Geny Catamo
89'
M
97
Luis Javier Suárez
F
Luis Javier Suárez
F
Bench
7
Geovany Quenda
23'
M
Geovany Quenda
23'
M
14
Giorgi Kochorashvili
M
Giorgi Kochorashvili
M
13
Giorgos Vagiannidis
45'
D
Giorgos Vagiannidis
45'
D
5
Hidemasa Morita
23'
M
Hidemasa Morita
23'
M
12
João Virgínia
G
João Virgínia
G
26
Ousmane Diomande
1'
D
Ousmane Diomande
1'
D
90
Rafael Nel
1'
F
Rafael Nel
1'
F
91
Ricardo Mangas
D
Ricardo Mangas
D
15
Souleymane Faye
F
Souleymane Faye
F
Best on the pitch
Rui Silva
G · Sporting
8.00
· 30 pass
Daniel Bragança
M · Sporting
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 45 pass
Bruno Langa
D · Estrela
7.30
· 20 pass
Geovany Quenda
M · Sporting
7.30
· 18 pass
Morten Hjulmand
M · Sporting
7.30
· 61 pass
Abraham Marcus
F · Estrela
7.30
· 23 pass
Estrela — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renan Ribeiro | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Langa | D | 76 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| Bernardo Schappo | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Stefan Leković | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | 5 | — | — |
| Max Scholze | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho | M | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Höög Jansson | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Eddy Doué | M | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Ianis Stoica | F | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Pinho | F | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Abraham Marcus | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Jefferson Encada | D | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jorge Meireles | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Jovane Cabral | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Otavio | D | 14 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Sydney van Hooijdonk | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
Sporting CP — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rui Silva | G | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| Maximiliano Araújo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Zeno Debast | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 92 | 77% | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Quaresma | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 90 | 87% | 1 | — | — |
| Iván Fresneda | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Bragança | M | 67 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 45 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Morten Hjulmand | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 61 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedro Gonçalves | M | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Francisco Trincão | M | 89 | 5.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 48 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Geny Catamo | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Javier Suárez | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Geovany Quenda | M | 23 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Giorgos Vagiannidis | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Hidemasa Morita | M | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Ousmane Diomande | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Nel | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |