Primeira Liga
· Regular Season - 29
April 12, 2026 21:00
✓Model correct — prediction SC Braga
P. Victor
(ast. F. Navarro)
66'
Match statistics
3
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
1
0.89
Actual xG
1.11
1
Saves
1
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
5
5
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
33'
Vitor Carvalho
/ P. Oliveira
46'
55'
Bas Kuipers
R. Horta
/ P. Victor
63'
L. Lelo
/ G. Martinez
63'
65'
A. Dante
/
B. Kuipers
65'
A. Trezza
/
P. Gozalbez
⚽P. Victor
· ast. F. Navarro
66'
Gabriel Martínez
72'
J. Moutinho
/ Gorby
76'
80'
Gabriel Martínez
82'
Gabriel Martínez
82'
85'
M. Flores
/
H. Lee
85'
Pedro Santos
/
T. Fukui
F. Navarro
/ Y. da Rocha
89'
90'+1
F. Mayulu
/
Tiago Esgaio
90'+5
Jose Fontán
Pre-match prediction
68.98%
SC ←
17.47%
X
13.55%
Arouca
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (SC Braga)
68.98%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.55
0.89
-1.66
1.21
1.11
-0.1
xG dominance was balanced (0.89 – 1.11).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Lukáš Horníček
G
Lukáš Horníček
G
26
Bright Arrey-Mbi
D
Bright Arrey-Mbi
D
6
Vítor Carvalho
45'
D
Vítor Carvalho
45'
D
17
Gabriel Moscardo
D
Gabriel Moscardo
D
5
Leonardo Lelo
63'
M
Leonardo Lelo
63'
M
8
Joao Moutinho
76'
M
Joao Moutinho
76'
M
34
Demir Ege Tıknaz
M
Demir Ege Tıknaz
M
2
Victor Gómez
M
Victor Gómez
M
21
Ricardo Horta
63'
F
Ricardo Horta
63'
F
20
Mario Dorgeles
F
Mario Dorgeles
F
39
Fran Navarro
1 👟
89'
F
Fran Navarro
1 👟
89'
F
Bench
9
Amine El Ouazzani
F
Amine El Ouazzani
F
77
Gabriel Martínez
19'
F
Gabriel Martínez
19'
F
29
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
14'
M
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
14'
M
53
Jonatás Noro
D
Jonatás Noro
D
90
Luisinho
M
Luisinho
M
15
Paulo Oliveira
45'
D
Paulo Oliveira
45'
D
18
Pau Víctor
1 ⚽
27'
F
Pau Víctor
1 ⚽
27'
F
12
Tiago Sá
G
Tiago Sá
G
41
Yanis da Rocha
10'
M
Yanis da Rocha
10'
M
30
Jakub Vinarčík
G
Jakub Vinarčík
G
7
Naïs Djouahra
D
Naïs Djouahra
D
25
Bas Kuipers
65'
D
Bas Kuipers
65'
D
3
Jose Fontán
D
Jose Fontán
D
15
Javi Sánchez
D
Javi Sánchez
D
28
Tiago Esgaio
89'
D
Tiago Esgaio
89'
D
14
Hyun-ju Lee
85'
M
Hyun-ju Lee
85'
M
21
Taichi Fukui
85'
M
Taichi Fukui
85'
M
22
Espen Van Ee
M
Espen Van Ee
M
10
Pablo Gozálbez
65'
M
Pablo Gozálbez
65'
M
17
Ivan Barbero
F
Ivan Barbero
F
Bench
19
Alfonso Trezza
25'
F
Alfonso Trezza
25'
F
44
Amadou Dante
25'
D
Amadou Dante
25'
D
5
Boris Popović
D
Boris Popović
D
24
Brian Mansilla
F
Brian Mansilla
F
9
Fally Mayulu
8'
F
Fally Mayulu
8'
F
2
José Silva
D
José Silva
D
46
Mateo Flores
14'
M
Mateo Flores
14'
M
4
Matías Rocha
D
Matías Rocha
D
89
Pedro Santos
14'
M
Pedro Santos
14'
M
Best on the pitch
Pau Víctor
F · SC
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 10 pass
Demir Ege Tıknaz
M · SC
7.50
· 74 pass
Gabriel Moscardo
D · SC
7.30
· 57 pass
Vítor Carvalho
D · SC
7.20
· 79 pass
Paulo Oliveira
D · SC
7.20
· 26 pass
Victor Gómez
M · SC
7.20
· 32 pass
SC Braga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukáš Horníček | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Bright Arrey-Mbi | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 90 | 84% | — | — | — |
| Vítor Carvalho | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 79 | 71% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Moscardo | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 52% | 3 | — | — |
| Leonardo Lelo | M | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Joao Moutinho | M | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 94 | 90% | — | — | — |
| Demir Ege Tıknaz | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 74 | 68% | 1 | — | — |
| Victor Gómez | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Ricardo Horta | F | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Mario Dorgeles | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Fran Navarro | F | 89 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Martínez | F | 19 | 4.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | 2 | 1 |
| Jean-Baptiste Gorby | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo Oliveira | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Pau Víctor | F | 27 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Yanis da Rocha | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Arouca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Vinarčík | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Naïs Djouahra | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Bas Kuipers | D | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Jose Fontán | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 63 | 51% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Javi Sánchez | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| Tiago Esgaio | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Hyun-ju Lee | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Taichi Fukui | M | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Espen Van Ee | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 47 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| Pablo Gozálbez | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Ivan Barbero | F | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Alfonso Trezza | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Amadou Dante | D | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Fally Mayulu | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateo Flores | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Santos | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |