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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 29 April 12, 2026 23:30
Estoril
#10 · 37 pts
1 – 3
Final score
FC Porto
#1 · 82 pts
✓Model correct — prediction FC Porto
Y. Begraoui (ast. Pizzi) 78'
14' (ast. G. Veiga) Pepe
(og) 32' Xeka
72' (ast. A. Costa) V. Froholdt
Match statistics
7
Total shots
17
3
Shots on target
5
0.39
Actual xG
2.69
3
Saves
2
55%
Possession
45%
1
Corners
8
17
Tackles
19
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
14'
ast. G. Veiga · Pepe⚽
24'
Jordan Holsgrove
30'
32'
(og) Xeka⚽
48'
João Carvalho
51'
51'
Oskar Pietuszewski
60'
B. Sainz / O. Pietuszewski ↕
↕ Xeka / R. Guitane
63'
70'
F. Moura / Zaidu ↕
70'
T. Moffi / D. Gul ↕
70'
R. Mora / G. Veiga ↕
↕ A. Lacximicant / A. Marques
71'
↕ P. Amaral / P. Carvalho
71'
72'
ast. A. Costa · V. Froholdt⚽
↕ J. Holsgrove / Pizzi
77'
↕ Jandro / N. Lominadze
77'
⚽Y. Begraoui · ast. Pizzi
78'
Ricard Sánchez
82'
83'
S. Fofana / Pepê ↕
Pre-match prediction
19.88%
Estoril
20.56%
X
59.56%
FC ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FC Porto) 59.56% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Estoril
1.05
0.39
-0.66
FC
2.08
2.69
+0.61
FC Porto dominated by xG (2.69 vs 0.39). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 31 82
2 Benfica Benfica 31 75
3 Sporting CP Sporting CP 31 73
4 SC Braga SC Braga 31 56
5 Famalicao Famalicao 31 51
6 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 31 49
7 Guimaraes Guimaraes 31 42
8 Moreirense Moreirense 31 39
9 Alverca Alverca 31 38
10 Estoril Estoril 31 37
11 Arouca Arouca 31 35
12 Rio Ave Rio Ave 31 34
13 Santa Clara Santa Clara 31 32
14 Nacional Nacional 31 31
15 Estrela Estrela 31 28
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 31 26
17 Tondela Tondela 31 22
18 AVS AVS 31 14
Lineups
Estoril Estoril 4-3-1-2
1 Joel Robles Joel Robles G 6.90
24 Pedro Amaral Pedro Amaral 71' D 6.60
25 Felix Bacher Felix Bacher D 6.90
5 Antef Tsoungui Antef Tsoungui D 6.90
2 Ricard Sánchez Ricard Sánchez D 6.20
8 Xeka Xeka 1 ⚽ 63' M 6.00
10 Jordan Holsgrove Jordan Holsgrove 77' M 6.20
6 Jandro Orellana Jandro Orellana 77' M 6.50
12 João Carvalho João Carvalho M 6.20
19 André Lacximicant André Lacximicant 71' F 6.60
14 Yanis Begraoui Yanis Begraoui 1 ⚽ F 7.30
Bench
9 Alejandro Marqués Alejandro Marqués 19' F 6.30
4 Ferro Ferro D
97 Luis Gomes Luis Gomes M
16 Martin Turk Martin Turk G
7 Nodar Lominadze Nodar Lominadze 13' M 6.70
22 Pedro Carvalho Pedro Carvalho 19' D 6.30
70 Peixinho Peixinho F
21 Pizzi Pizzi 1 👟 13' M 7.00
99 Rafik Guitane Rafik Guitane 27' M 6.50
FC Porto FC Porto 4-3-3
99 Diogo Costa Diogo Costa G 6.90
12 Zaidu Sanusi Zaidu Sanusi 70' D 7.70
4 Jakub Kiwior Jakub Kiwior D 6.90
5 Jan Bednarek Jan Bednarek D 7.20
20 Alberto Costa Alberto Costa 1 👟 D 7.70
10 Gabri Veiga Gabri Veiga 1 👟 70' M 7.50
22 Alan Varela Alan Varela M 6.60
8 Victor Froholdt Victor Froholdt 1 ⚽ M 7.70
77 Oskar Pietuszewski Oskar Pietuszewski 60' F 7.20
27 Deniz Gül Deniz Gül 70' F 6.20
11 Pepê Pepê 1 ⚽ 83' F 6.90
Bench
17 Borja Sainz Borja Sainz 30' F 6.60
14 Cláudio Ramos Cláudio Ramos G
21 Dominik Prpić Dominik Prpić D
74 Francisco Moura Francisco Moura 20' D 6.70
13 Pablo Rosario Pablo Rosario M
86 Rodrigo Mora Rodrigo Mora 20' M 6.90
42 Seko Fofana Seko Fofana 14' M 6.70
29 Terem Moffi Terem Moffi 20' F 6.30
3 Thiago Silva Thiago Silva D
Best on the pitch
Victor Froholdt
Victor Froholdt
M · FC
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 22 pass
Alberto Costa
Alberto Costa
D · FC
7.70
1 👟
2 shots · 34 pass
Zaidu Sanusi
Zaidu Sanusi
D · FC
7.70
· 36 pass
Gabri Veiga
Gabri Veiga
M · FC
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 30 pass
Yanis Begraoui
Yanis Begraoui
F · Estoril
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 24 pass
Oskar Pietuszewski
Oskar Pietuszewski
F · FC
7.20
1 shots · 9 pass
Estoril Estoril — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Joel Robles G 90 6.90 — — — 39 13% — — —
Pedro Amaral D 71 6.60 — — — 26 20% 3 — —
Felix Bacher D 90 6.90 — — — 43 38% 2 — —
Antef Tsoungui D 90 6.90 — — — 33 24% 2 — —
Ricard Sánchez D 90 6.20 — — 2 43 33% 1 1 —
Xeka M 63 6.00 1 — — 36 28% 2 — —
Jordan Holsgrove M 77 6.20 — — — 64 51% — 1 —
Jandro Orellana M 77 6.50 — — — 37 35% 1 — —
João Carvalho M 90 6.20 — — 1 39 34% 1 1 —
André Lacximicant F 71 6.60 — — 2 10 9% 1 — —
Yanis Begraoui F 90 7.30 1 — 1 24 21% 1 — —
Alejandro Marqués F 19 6.30 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
Nodar Lominadze M 13 6.70 — — — 8 4% — — —
Pedro Carvalho D 19 6.30 — — — 8 6% 1 — —
Pizzi M 13 7.00 — 1 — 21 20% — — —
Rafik Guitane M 27 6.50 — — 1 21 17% 1 — —
FC Porto FC Porto — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Diogo Costa G 90 6.90 — — — 27 18% — — —
Zaidu Sanusi D 70 7.70 — — — 36 32% 3 — —
Jakub Kiwior D 90 6.90 — — — 43 35% 3 — —
Jan Bednarek D 90 7.20 — — — 42 33% 1 — —
Alberto Costa D 90 7.70 — 1 2 34 26% 2 — —
Gabri Veiga M 70 7.50 — 1 1 30 24% 3 — —
Alan Varela M 90 6.60 — — 1 42 34% 2 — —
Victor Froholdt M 90 7.70 1 — 3 22 20% 1 — —
Oskar Pietuszewski F 60 7.20 — — 1 9 6% 1 1 —
Deniz Gül F 70 6.20 — — 2 10 4% — — —
Pepê F 83 6.90 1 — 2 25 17% — — —
Borja Sainz F 30 6.60 — — 3 14 11% — — —
Francisco Moura D 20 6.70 — — — 10 6% 2 — —
Rodrigo Mora M 20 6.90 — — 1 7 5% 1 — —
Seko Fofana M 14 6.70 — — — 10 9% — — —
Terem Moffi F 20 6.30 — — 1 4 3% — — —