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#11 · 39 pts
1 – 0
Final score
#13 · 39 pts
Model correct — prediction Rayo Vallecano
S. Camello (ast. I. Akhomach) 87'
Match statistics
15
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
4
1.67
Actual xG
1.97
4
Saves
5
53%
Possession
47%
6
Corners
5
13
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
2'
P. Milla
19'
P. Lozano
A. Batalla
35'
46'
C. Pickel / P. Lozano
P. Ciss
50'
Pacha / I. Akhomach
58'
67'
R. Terrats / R. Fernandez Jaen
74'
(missed pen.) K. Garcia
75'
L. Cabrera
Alemao / G. Gumbau
76'
O. Valentin / U. Lopez
76'
78'
C. Riedel / F. Calero
78'
C. Ngonge / T. Dolan
J. Vertrouwd / A. Mumin
81'
P. Diaz / S. Camello
81'
83'
C. Ngonge
S. Camello · ast. I. Akhomach
87'
90'+1
M. Rubio / P. Milla
Pre-match prediction
67.48%
Rayo ←
18.66%
X
13.85%
Espanyol
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Rayo Vallecano) 67.48% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Rayo
2.30
1.67
-0.64
Espanyol
0.73
1.97
+1.24
xG dominance was balanced (1.67 – 1.97). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 33 85
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 33 74
3 Villarreal Villarreal 33 65
4 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 33 60
5 Real Betis Real Betis 33 50
6 Getafe Getafe 33 44
7 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 33 44
8 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 33 43
9 Osasuna Osasuna 33 42
10 Athletic Club Athletic Club 33 41
11 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 33 39
12 Valencia Valencia 33 39
13 Espanyol Espanyol 33 39
14 Elche Elche 33 38
15 Girona Girona 33 38
16 Alaves Alaves 33 36
17 Mallorca Mallorca 33 35
18 Sevilla Sevilla 33 34
19 Levante Levante 33 33
20 Oviedo Oviedo 33 28
Lineups
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 4-2-3-1
1 Dani Cárdenas Dani Cárdenas G 8.50
3 Josep Chavarría Josep Chavarría D 7.20
33 Jozhua Vertrouwd Jozhua Vertrouwd 81' D 7.30
6 Pathé Ismaël Ciss Pathé Ismaël Ciss D 7.70
2 Andrei Rațiu Andrei Rațiu D 8.30
23 Óscar Valentín Óscar Valentín 76' M 6.70
4 Pedro Díaz Pedro Díaz 81' M 6.90
22 Pacha Pacha 58' M 7.00
7 Isi Palazón Isi Palazón M 6.90
19 Jorge de Frutos Jorge de Frutos M 6.70
9 Alemão Alemão 76' F 6.20
Bench
16 Abdul Mumin Abdul Mumin 9' D 6.30
13 Augusto Batalla Augusto Batalla G
14 Carlos Martín Carlos Martín F
21 Fran Pérez Fran Pérez M
15 Gerard Gumbau Gerard Gumbau 14' M 6.90
12 Ilias Akhomach Ilias Akhomach 1 👟 32' F 7.20
20 Ivan Balliu Ivan Balliu D
30 Juanpe Juanpe G
8 Óscar Trejo Óscar Trejo M
10 Sergio Camello Sergio Camello 1 ⚽ 9' F 7.70
17 Unai López Unai López 14' M 6.90
Espanyol Espanyol 4-4-2
13 Marko Dmitrović Marko Dmitrović G 6.70
22 Carlos Romero Carlos Romero D 6.90
6 Leandro Cabrera Leandro Cabrera D 6.50
5 Fernando Calero Fernando Calero 78' D 7.00
23 Omar El Hilali Omar El Hilali D 6.60
11 Pere Milla Pere Milla 89' M 6.30
8 Edu Expósito Edu Expósito M 7.00
10 Pol Lozano Pol Lozano 45' M 6.20
24 Tyrhys Dolan Tyrhys Dolan 78' M 6.70
9 Roberto Fernández Roberto Fernández 67' F 6.70
19 Kike García Kike García F 5.90
Bench
1 Angel Fortuno Angel Fortuno G
20 Antoniu Roca Antoniu Roca F
18 Charles Pickel Charles Pickel 45' M 6.90
38 Clemens Riedel Clemens Riedel 12' D 6.50
16 Cyril Ngonge Cyril Ngonge 12' F 6.70
17 Jofre Carreras Jofre Carreras F
12 Jose Salinas Jose Salinas D
32 Lluc Castell Lluc Castell F
26 Miguel Londoño Miguel Londoño M
15 Miguel Rubio Miguel Rubio 8' D 6.50
14 Ramón Terrats Ramón Terrats 23' M 6.50
2 Rubén Sánchez Rubén Sánchez D
Best on the pitch
Dani Cárdenas
Dani Cárdenas
G · Rayo
8.50
· 40 pass
Andrei Rațiu
Andrei Rațiu
D · Rayo
8.30
2 shots · 35 pass
Sergio Camello
Sergio Camello
F · Rayo
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 4 pass
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
D · Rayo
7.70
2 shots · 42 pass
Jozhua Vertrouwd
Jozhua Vertrouwd
D · Rayo
7.30
· 35 pass
Josep Chavarría
Josep Chavarría
D · Rayo
7.20
· 36 pass
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Dani Cárdenas G 90 8.50 40 24%
Josep Chavarría D 90 7.20 36 29% 1
Jozhua Vertrouwd D 81 7.30 35 30%
Pathé Ismaël Ciss D 90 7.70 2 42 37% 1 1
Andrei Rațiu D 90 8.30 2 35 28% 2
Óscar Valentín M 76 6.70 32 26% 2
Pedro Díaz M 81 6.90 1 32 26% 1
Pacha M 58 7.00 14 10% 2
Isi Palazón M 90 6.90 6 26 22%
Jorge de Frutos M 90 6.70 13 12% 1
Alemão F 76 6.20 3 12 9%
Abdul Mumin D 9 6.30 4 3%
Gerard Gumbau M 14 6.90 1
Ilias Akhomach F 32 7.20 1 6 6%
Sergio Camello F 9 7.70 1 1 4 3%
Unai López M 14 6.90 4 3% 2
Espanyol Espanyol — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Marko Dmitrović G 90 6.70 23 13%
Carlos Romero D 90 6.90 1 25 16% 4
Leandro Cabrera D 90 6.50 23 19% 1
Fernando Calero D 78 7.00 29 23%
Omar El Hilali D 90 6.60 32 24% 3
Pere Milla M 89 6.30 1 18 11% 4 1
Edu Expósito M 90 7.00 2 39 26%
Pol Lozano M 45 6.20 17 11% 1
Tyrhys Dolan M 78 6.70 19 16% 1
Roberto Fernández F 67 6.70 1 13 9% 2
Kike García F 90 5.90 2 19 11% 1
Charles Pickel M 45 6.90 23 21% 1
Clemens Riedel D 12 6.50 6 5%
Cyril Ngonge F 12 6.70 2 4 4% 1
Miguel Rubio D 8 6.50
Ramón Terrats M 23 6.50 1 5 5% 1