HNL
· Regular Season - 30
April 18, 2026 18:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Dinamo Zagreb, result Pareggio
D. Beljo
(ast. M. Bakrar)
5'
D. Beljo
86'
(pen.)
(pen.)
51'
T. Dantas
(pen.)
71'
T. Dantas
Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
4
1.54
Actual xG
1.77
2
Saves
0
55%
Possession
45%
7
Corners
7
13
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽D. Beljo
· ast. M. Bakrar
5'
16'
B. Pavic
/
A. Husic
G. Vidovic
/ A. Hoxha
23'
S. McKenna
/ M. Valincic
46'
50'
T. Dantas
51'
(pen.)
T. Dantas⚽
57'
A. Orec
59'
D. Cop
/
M. Ndockyt
M. Valincic
64'
M. Zajc
/ M. Soldo
71'
M. Bakrar
/ M. Lisica
71'
71'
(pen.)
T. Dantas⚽
73'
B. Goda
/ M. Perez Vinlof
76'
84'
A. Orec
84'
A. Orec
85'
S. Radeljic
⚽D. Beljo
(pen.)
86'
88'
N. Bodetic
/
D. Adu Adjei
Pre-match prediction
77.76%
Dinamo
12.45%
X ←
9.79%
HNK
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
12.45%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.38
1.54
-1.84
0.96
1.77
+0.81
xG dominance was balanced (1.54 – 1.77).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
40
Dominik Livaković
G
Dominik Livaković
G
3
Bruno Goda
76'
D
Bruno Goda
76'
D
26
Scott McKenna
45'
D
Scott McKenna
45'
D
36
Sergi Domínguez
D
Sergi Domínguez
D
15
Niko Galešić
D
Niko Galešić
D
8
Miha Zajc
71'
M
Miha Zajc
71'
M
27
Josip Mišić
M
Josip Mišić
M
7
Luka Stojković
M
Luka Stojković
M
10
Gabriel Vidović
23'
F
Gabriel Vidović
23'
F
9
Dion Drena Beljo
2 ⚽
F
Dion Drena Beljo
2 ⚽
F
71
Monsef Bakrar
1 👟
71'
F
Monsef Bakrar
1 👟
71'
F
Bench
11
Arber Hoxha
73'
F
Arber Hoxha
73'
F
30
Fran Topić
F
Fran Topić
F
44
Ivan Filipović
G
Ivan Filipović
G
33
Ivan Nevistić
G
Ivan Nevistić
G
70
Juan Córdoba
F
Juan Córdoba
F
14
Marko Soldo
25'
M
Marko Soldo
25'
M
42
Marko Zebić
D
Marko Zebić
D
21
Mateo Lisica
25'
F
Mateo Lisica
25'
F
22
Matteo Pérez Vinlöf
20'
D
Matteo Pérez Vinlöf
20'
D
25
Moris Valinčić
51'
D
Moris Valinčić
51'
D
13
Paul Bismarck Tabinas
D
Paul Bismarck Tabinas
D
41
Sven Šunta
M
Sven Šunta
M
13
Martin Zlomislić
G
Martin Zlomislić
G
24
Christian Ouguehi Legbo
D
Christian Ouguehi Legbo
D
6
Stjepan Radeljić
D
Stjepan Radeljić
D
45
Ante Majstorović
D
Ante Majstorović
D
22
Ante Oreč
84'
D
Ante Oreč
84'
D
51
Anel Husić
16'
M
Anel Husić
16'
M
26
Tiago Dantas
2 ⚽
M
Tiago Dantas
2 ⚽
M
23
Justas Lasickas
M
Justas Lasickas
M
14
Amer Gojak
M
Amer Gojak
M
20
Merveil Ndockyt
59'
M
Merveil Ndockyt
59'
M
18
Daniel Adu-Adjei
88'
F
Daniel Adu-Adjei
88'
F
Bench
79
Alasan Samateh
F
Alasan Samateh
F
99
Aleksa Todorović
G
Aleksa Todorović
G
77
Ante Matej Jurić
F
Ante Matej Jurić
F
66
Branko Pavić
80'
M
Branko Pavić
80'
M
8
Dejan Petrovič
M
Dejan Petrovič
M
9
Duje Čop
37'
F
Duje Čop
37'
F
11
Gabriel Rukavina
F
Gabriel Rukavina
F
2
Lovro Kitin
D
Lovro Kitin
D
91
Noel Bodetić
8'
D
Noel Bodetić
8'
D
7
Tornike Morchiladze
M
Tornike Morchiladze
M
Best on the pitch
Tiago Dantas
M · HNK
8.00
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 30 pass
Dion Drena Beljo
F · Dinamo
7.70
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 9 pass
Arber Hoxha
F · Dinamo
7.30
2 shots
· 8 pass
Daniel Adu-Adjei
F · HNK
7.20
· 2 pass
Duje Čop
F · HNK
7.20
· 3 pass
Josip Mišić
M · Dinamo
7.20
1 shots
· 34 pass
Dinamo Zagreb — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominik Livaković | G | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Goda | D | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 5 | — | — |
| Scott McKenna | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Sergi Domínguez | D | 96 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 61 | 57% | — | — | — |
| Niko Galešić | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 55 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Miha Zajc | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Josip Mišić | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Luka Stojković | M | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Vidović | F | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Dion Drena Beljo | F | 96 | 7.70 | 2 | — | 3 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Monsef Bakrar | F | 71 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Arber Hoxha | F | 73 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Marko Soldo | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Lisica | F | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Matteo Pérez Vinlöf | D | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Moris Valinčić | D | 51 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
HNK Rijeka — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Zlomislić | G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Christian Ouguehi Legbo | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Stjepan Radeljić | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 50 | 44% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ante Majstorović | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 55 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Ante Oreč | D | 84 | 5.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Anel Husić | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Tiago Dantas | M | 96 | 8.00 | 2 | — | 2 | 30 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Justas Lasickas | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Amer Gojak | M | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Merveil Ndockyt | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Adu-Adjei | F | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Branko Pavić | M | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Duje Čop | F | 37 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Noel Bodetić | D | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |