← Liga BetPlay
#1 · 40 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#18 · 15 pts
Model correct — prediction Atletico Nacional
A. Sarmiento (ast. A. Morelos) 16'
E. Bello (ast. A. Sarmiento) 69'
36' (ast. Y. Moreno) Jopito
Match statistics
16
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
1
1.11
Actual xG
0.81
0
Saves
4
51%
Possession
49%
4
Corners
2
6
Tackles
8
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
15'
R. R. Colpa Bolano
A. Sarmiento · ast. A. Morelos
16'
S. Garcia
30'
36'
ast. Y. Moreno · Jopito
J. Campuzano
48'
M. Uribe / E. Bello
60'
E. Cardona / C. Arango
60'
68'
R. Bustamante / F. Mosquera
E. Bello · ast. A. Sarmiento
69'
A. Sarmiento / M. Moreno
72'
76'
D. Rodriguez Urango / Y. Moreno
76'
D. Lopez / Jopito
76'
J. Mejia / A. Renteria
77'
J. Hinestroza
82'
B. Angulo Castro / J. Hinestroza
A. Morelos / D. Asprilla
85'
J. Rengifo / F. Marin
85'
87'
J. Lovera
Pre-match prediction
71.36%
Atletico ←
18.57%
X
10.07%
Jaguares
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Nacional) 71.36% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Atletico
2.48
1.11
-1.37
Jaguares
0.67
0.81
+0.14
xG dominance was balanced (1.11 – 0.81). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 18 40
2 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 18 34
3 Junior Junior 18 32
4 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 18 30
5 America de Cali America de Cali 18 30
6 Once Caldas Once Caldas 18 30
7 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 18 28
8 Santa Fe Santa Fe 18 26
9 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 18 26
10 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 18 26
11 Millonarios Millonarios 18 25
12 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 18 23
13 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 18 23
14 Llaneros Llaneros 18 22
15 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 18 19
16 Cucuta Cucuta 18 16
17 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 18 16
18 Jaguares Jaguares 18 15
19 Chico Chico 18 14
20 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 18 10
Lineups
44 Kevin Cataño Kevin Cataño G 6.90
20 Milton Casco Milton Casco D 6.90
28 Simon Garcia Simon Garcia D 6.70
3 Neider Parra Neider Parra D 6.60
6 Andrés Román Andrés Román D 6.20
10 Edwin Cardona Edwin Cardona 60' M 6.90
8 Matheus Uribe Matheus Uribe 60' M 6.30
29 Andrés Sarmiento Andrés Sarmiento 1 ⚽ 1 👟 72' M 8.30
21 Jorman Campuzano Jorman Campuzano M 7.20
19 Juan Manuel Rengifo Juan Manuel Rengifo 85' M 7.00
9 Alfredo Morelos Alfredo Morelos 1 👟 85' F 6.70
Bench
14 Andrés Marín Andrés Marín 9' D 6.60
17 Cristian Arango Cristian Arango 30' F 6.30
5 Cristian Uribe Cristian Uribe D
27 Dairon Asprilla Dairon Asprilla 9' F 6.20
18 Eduard Bello Eduard Bello 1 ⚽ 30' F 7.90
15 Harlen Castillo Harlen Castillo G
7 Marlos Moreno Marlos Moreno 18' F 6.60
35 Matias Lozano Matias Lozano M
33 Samuel Velásquez Samuel Velásquez M
Jaguares Jaguares 3-4-2-1
12 Franklin Mosquera Franklin Mosquera G 6.60
29 Carlos Henao Carlos Henao D 6.20
5 Royscer Colpa Royscer Colpa D 6.20
6 Jonathan Lovera Jonathan Lovera D 6.70
15 Jáder Maza Jáder Maza M 6.70
23 Fabián Mosquera Fabián Mosquera 68' M 6.50
13 Johan Hinestroza Johan Hinestroza 82' M 6.70
25 Luis Jiménez Luis Jiménez M 6.50
19 Yairo Moreno Yairo Moreno 1 👟 76' F 7.50
10 Cristian Alvarez Cristian Alvarez 1 ⚽ 76' F 7.90
11 Andrés Rentería Andrés Rentería 76' F 6.90
Bench
14 Bladimir Angulo Bladimir Angulo 8' M 6.70
26 Darwin Lopez Darwin Lopez 14' F 6.50
1 Diego Martínez Diego Martínez G
8 Duvan Rodríguez Duvan Rodríguez 14' F 6.70
16 Johar Mejía Johar Mejía 14' F 6.50
21 Rafael Bustamante Rafael Bustamante 22' M 6.90
7 Wilfrido De la Rosa Wilfrido De la Rosa F
Best on the pitch
Andrés Sarmiento
Andrés Sarmiento
M · Atletico
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 17 pass
Eduard Bello
Eduard Bello
F · Atletico
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 10 pass
Cristian Alvarez
Cristian Alvarez
F · Jaguares
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 30 pass
Yairo Moreno
Yairo Moreno
F · Jaguares
7.50
1 👟
· 28 pass
Jorman Campuzano
Jorman Campuzano
M · Atletico
7.20
· 49 pass
Juan Manuel Rengifo
Juan Manuel Rengifo
M · Atletico
7.00
4 shots · 50 pass
Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Kevin Cataño G 90 6.90 27 26%
Milton Casco D 90 6.90 38 30% 3
Simon Garcia D 90 6.70 63 59% 1
Neider Parra D 90 6.60 59 56%
Andrés Román D 90 6.20 1 32 26%
Edwin Cardona M 60 6.90 34 19% 1
Matheus Uribe M 60 6.30 1 18 17% 1
Andrés Sarmiento M 72 8.30 1 1 3 17 12%
Jorman Campuzano M 90 7.20 49 47% 1 1
Juan Manuel Rengifo M 85 7.00 4 50 42%
Alfredo Morelos F 85 6.70 1 4 28 20%
Andrés Marín D 9 6.60 2 2%
Cristian Arango F 30 6.30 1 8 6%
Dairon Asprilla F 9 6.20 1
Eduard Bello F 30 7.90 1 1 10 10%
Marlos Moreno F 18 6.60 1 8 7%
Jaguares Jaguares — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Franklin Mosquera G 90 6.60 26 19%
Carlos Henao D 90 6.20 1 26 21%
Royscer Colpa D 90 6.20 1 55 49% 1
Jonathan Lovera D 90 6.70 39 30% 3 1
Jáder Maza M 90 6.70 1 39 34% 2
Fabián Mosquera M 68 6.50 33 30%
Johan Hinestroza M 82 6.70 45 40% 1
Luis Jiménez M 90 6.50 42 35%
Yairo Moreno F 76 7.50 1 28 24%
Cristian Alvarez F 76 7.90 1 1 30 25% 1
Andrés Rentería F 76 6.90 1 16 15%
Bladimir Angulo M 8 6.70 12 10%
Darwin Lopez F 14 6.50 8 8%
Duvan Rodríguez F 14 6.70 11 10%
Johar Mejía F 14 6.50 2
Rafael Bustamante M 22 6.90 25 23% 2