División Profesional
· Apertura - 16
April 11, 2026 03:30
M. Aguero
(ast. H. Villamayor)
72'
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
3
1.37
Actual xG
2.35
46%
Possession
54%
2
Corners
3
Match Events
D. Meza Montiel
13'
55'
G. Gomez
/
L. Martinez
61'
A. Manzur
/
P. Tanda
61'
D. Rodriguez
/
Jhon Sanchez
J. Barrios
/ C. Colman
64'
J. Duarte
/ L. Esteche
64'
70'
D. Perez
⚽M. Aguero
· ast. H. Villamayor
72'
76'
R. Torales
/
D. Perez
76'
K. Ferreira Gonzalez
/
D. Fernandez
M. Aguero
/ M. Lopez
81'
H. Villamayor
/ M. Alfonso
85'
A. Galeano
/ A. Oviedo
85'
L. Franco
90'+3
90'+4
D. Rodriguez
Pre-match prediction
27.87%
Club ←
37.23%
X
34.9%
Club
we assigned to the actual result (Club Sp. San Lorenzo)
27.87%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.64
1.37
+0.73
0.81
2.35
+1.54
Club Guarani dominated by xG (2.35 vs 1.37).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
