Saudi Pro League
· Regular Season - 28
April 11, 2026 20:00
✗Model wrong — prediction NEOM, result Al Najma vince
S. M. Al Aqel M.
43'
B. Boutobba
(ast. Felippe Cardoso)
49'
56'
(ast. S. Benrahma)
A. Kone
Match statistics
4
Total shots
17
4
Shots on target
4
0.55
Actual xG
2.69
3
Saves
2
24%
Possession
76%
3
Corners
22
12
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
13'
A. Kone
A. Al Harabi
13'
⚽S. M. Al Aqel M.
43'
S. M. Al Aqel M.
45'+2
46'
F. Abdi
/
I. Hawsawi
⚽B. Boutobba
· ast. Felippe Cardoso
49'
56'
ast. S. Benrahma ·
A. Kone⚽
58'
M. Al Saad
/
A. Kone
B. Boutobba
/ M. Y. Dawran M.
65'
73'
A. Hegazy
76'
A. Abdu
/
A. Al Oyayari
76'
M. Al Burayk
/
R. Messi
Guga
/ A. Al Shammeri
86'
Pre-match prediction
23.36%
Al ←
20.64%
X
56.0%
NEOM
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Al Najma)
23.36%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.93
0.55
-0.38
2.04
2.69
+0.65
NEOM dominated by xG (2.69 vs 0.55).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Victor Braga
G
Victor Braga
G
2
Vitor Vargas
D
Vitor Vargas
D
3
Samir Caetano
D
Samir Caetano
D
33
Mohammed Al-Fatil
D
Mohammed Al-Fatil
D
18
Abdulaziz Al Harabi
D
Abdulaziz Al Harabi
D
24
Abdullah Al-Hawsawi
D
Abdullah Al-Hawsawi
D
16
Gonçalo Rodrigues
86'
M
Gonçalo Rodrigues
86'
M
80
Nabil Donga
M
Nabil Donga
M
98
Bilal Boutobba
1 ⚽
65'
M
Bilal Boutobba
1 ⚽
65'
M
90
Mohammed Al Aqal
47'
F
Mohammed Al Aqal
47'
F
70
Felippe Cardoso
1 👟
F
Felippe Cardoso
1 👟
F
Bench
8
Abdulelah Alshamary
13'
M
Abdulelah Alshamary
13'
M
77
Hisham Al-Dubais
F
Hisham Al-Dubais
F
6
Khalid Al-Shammari
M
Khalid Al-Shammari
M
27
Khalid Alsubaie
D
Khalid Alsubaie
D
7
Lázaro
F
Lázaro
F
11
Majed Dawran
34'
M
Majed Dawran
34'
M
75
Majed Mohammed Sharrahi
M
Majed Mohammed Sharrahi
M
50
Nawaf Al-Hawsawi
D
Nawaf Al-Hawsawi
D
87
Waled Al Enazi
G
Waled Al Enazi
G
81
Luís Maximiano
G
Luís Maximiano
G
27
Islam Ahmed Hawsawi
45'
D
Islam Ahmed Hawsawi
45'
D
44
Nathan Zeze
D
Nathan Zeze
D
26
Ahmed Hegazy
D
Ahmed Hegazy
D
15
Abdulmalik Al Oyayari
75'
D
Abdulmalik Al Oyayari
75'
D
8
Abdoulaye Doucouré
M
Abdoulaye Doucouré
M
72
Amadou Koné
1 ⚽
58'
M
Amadou Koné
1 ⚽
58'
M
18
Ala'a Al-Hejji
M
Ala'a Al-Hejji
M
10
Saïd Benrahma
1 👟
M
Saïd Benrahma
1 👟
M
80
Rayane Messi Tanfouri
75'
M
Rayane Messi Tanfouri
75'
M
19
Luciano Rodríguez
F
Luciano Rodríguez
F
Bench
71
Ahmed Abdu
24'
F
Ahmed Abdu
24'
F
60
Ahmed Al-Anzi
F
Ahmed Al-Anzi
F
93
Awn Al Saluli
D
Awn Al Saluli
D
25
Faris Abdi
54'
D
Faris Abdi
54'
D
4
Khalifah Al-Dawsari
D
Khalifah Al-Dawsari
D
2
Mohammed Al-Burayk
24'
D
Mohammed Al-Burayk
24'
D
14
Muhannad Al Saad
41'
F
Muhannad Al Saad
41'
F
1
Mustafa Malaika
G
Mustafa Malaika
G
47
Younes Al-Shanqeeti
M
Younes Al-Shanqeeti
M
Best on the pitch
Bilal Boutobba
M · Al
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 19 pass
Amadou Koné
M · NEOM
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 55 pass
Samir Caetano
D · Al
7.50
· 7 pass
Mohammed Al-Burayk
D · NEOM
7.20
· 15 pass
Abdullah Al-Hawsawi
D · Al
7.20
· 18 pass
Felippe Cardoso
F · Al
7.20
1 👟
· 21 pass
Al Najma — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Braga | G | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Vitor Vargas | D | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Samir Caetano | D | 99 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Fatil | D | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Abdulaziz Al Harabi | D | 99 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Abdullah Al-Hawsawi | D | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| Gonçalo Rodrigues | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Nabil Donga | M | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| Bilal Boutobba | M | 65 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Aqal | F | 47 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 2% | — | — | 1 |
| Felippe Cardoso | F | 99 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Abdulelah Alshamary | M | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Majed Dawran | M | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
NEOM — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luís Maximiano | G | 99 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Islam Ahmed Hawsawi | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Nathan Zeze | D | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Ahmed Hegazy | D | 99 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 38% | — | 1 | — |
| Abdulmalik Al Oyayari | D | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Abdoulaye Doucouré | M | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 79 | 75% | 2 | — | — |
| Amadou Koné | M | 58 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 55 | 50% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ala'a Al-Hejji | M | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| Saïd Benrahma | M | 99 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 3 | 52 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| Rayane Messi Tanfouri | M | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Luciano Rodríguez | F | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Ahmed Abdu | F | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Faris Abdi | D | 54 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Burayk | D | 24 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Muhannad Al Saad | F | 41 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |