Canadian Premier League
· Group Stage
April 18, 2026 21:00
C. Kachwele
56'
I. Johnston
76'
(pen.)
20'
A. Diaz
90'+8
(ast. D. Konincks)
B. Juach
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
3
1.88
Actual xG
1.12
58%
Possession
42%
5
Corners
4
Match Events
20'
A. Diaz⚽
R. Telfer
35'
⚽C. Kachwele
56'
S. Zitman
/ L. Olguin
63'
J. Bahamboula
/ T. Ciccarelli
69'
73'
C. Greco-Taylor
⚽I. Johnston
(pen.)
76'
77'
A. Daniels
/
M. Bustos
T. Ciccarelli
78'
78'
R. Juhmi
/
M. Baldisimo
79'
J. Heard
79'
B. Juach
/
A. Diaz
87'
R. Kratt
/
Y. R. Toualy
87'
S. Keshavarz
/
T. Gomulka
90'+8
ast. D. Konincks ·
B. Juach⚽
I. Johnston
/ F. Troisi
90'
C. Kachwele
/ A. Rampersad
90'
Pre-match prediction
37.03%
HFX
31.28%
X ←
31.7%
Pacific
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.28%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.90
1.88
-1.02
1.73
1.12
-0.61
HFX Wanderers FC dominated by xG (1.88 vs 1.12).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
