Canadian Premier League
· Group Stage
April 25, 2026 03:00
M. Chretien
(ast. C. Auguste)
26'
S. Mlah
(ast. S. Rea)
77'
(pen.)
12'
I. Johnston
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
2
1.14
Actual xG
1.43
63%
Possession
37%
10
Corners
5
Match Events
12'
(pen.)
I. Johnston⚽
17'
S. Zitman
⚽M. Chretien
· ast. C. Auguste
26'
I. Yeo
/ K. Ferdinand
38'
45'+5
I. Johnston
D. Abzi
48'
55'
A. Biello
57'
A. Biello
/ S. Mlah
63'
C. Calaidjoglu
/ A. Sissoko
63'
65'
J. Bahamboula
/
M. Arilla
72'
A. Rampersad
/
I. Johnston
⚽S. Mlah
· ast. S. Rea
77'
84'
T. Ciccarelli
/
M. Godinho
84'
Y. Bai
/
L. Olguin
S. Mlah
86'
R. Bey
/ B. Kabore
90'
D. Choiniere
/ Y. W. Wandje Djomze
90'
Pre-match prediction
34.48%
Supra ←
32.27%
X
33.25%
HFX
we assigned to the actual result (Supra du Quebec)
34.48%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
1.14
-0.35
1.18
1.43
+0.25
xG dominance was balanced (1.14 – 1.43).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
