División Profesional
· Apertura - 3
April 23, 2026 02:00
M. Portillo
18'
(og)
J. Rivas
27'
(pen.)
I. Cardenas
(ast. G. Anasgo)
86'
Match statistics
8
Shots on target
5
2.09
Actual xG
0.86
45%
Possession
55%
6
Corners
7
Match Events
⚽M. Portillo
(og)
18'
⚽J. Rivas
(pen.)
27'
29'
A. Moreno
B. Agron
42'
42'
C. Anez
F. Supayabe
45'
M. Gomez
/ A. Brito
46'
46'
Rafinha
/
A. Moreno
46'
D. Fernandez
/
M. Maciel
B. Agron
47'
B. Agron
47'
J. Alipaz
/ C. Chore
52'
60'
G. Peredo
/
D. Robles
60'
S. Garzon
/
C. Anez
66'
R. Ferrufino
70'
T. Chavez
/
Pablo Andres
B. Condori
/ I. Cardenas
79'
R. Terrazas
/ W. Fernandez
80'
J. Rivas
/ V. Castellon
81'
⚽I. Cardenas
· ast. G. Anasgo
86'
90'
N. Masskooni
Pre-match prediction
44.5%
Real ←
28.08%
X
27.41%
Guabirá
we assigned to the actual result (Real Potosí)
44.5%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.50
2.09
-2.41
0.31
0.86
+0.55
Real Potosí dominated by xG (2.09 vs 0.86).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.