División Profesional
· Apertura - 3
April 24, 2026 04:00
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
1
0.27
Actual xG
0.91
35%
Possession
65%
5
Corners
2
Match Events
M. Arteaga
4'
46'
A. Estacio
/
C. Ventura
46'
D. Lom
/
C. Algaranaz
46'
J. Welch
/
S. Arce
S. Cuiza
57'
61'
D. Lom
S. Cuiza
/ M. Chajtur
61'
M. Arteaga
/ V. Galvez
61'
L. Corulo
67'
72'
J. Arrascaita
/
R. Castro
J. Arguello
75'
M. Bejarano
/ J. Ribera
78'
85'
G. Sotomayor
/
V. Abrego
90'+1
J. Welch
G. Rehak
90'+4
C. Arabe
/ M. G. Barbery Gil
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
29.73%
Real
31.78%
X ←
38.5%
The
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.78%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.36
0.27
-0.09
1.44
0.91
-0.53
The Strongest dominated by xG (0.91 vs 0.27).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
