Champions League
· Round of 16
March 18, 2026 22:00
Match statistics
16
Shots on target
1
5.02
Actual xG
0.18
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
49.73%
Liverpool ←
26.18%
X
24.09%
Galatasaray
we assigned to the actual result (Liverpool)
49.73%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.58
5.02
+3.44
0.66
0.18
-0.48
Liverpool dominated by xG (5.02 vs 0.18).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
