Serie B
· Regular Season - 31
March 17, 2026 20:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Palermo, result Pareggio
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
6
2.99
Actual xG
1.03
57%
Possession
43%
7
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
56.33%
Palermo
31.89%
X ←
11.78%
Juve
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.89%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.28
2.99
+1.71
0.37
1.03
+0.66
Palermo dominated by xG (2.99 vs 1.03).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
