Serie B
· Regular Season - 31
March 17, 2026 21:00
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
4
1.48
Actual xG
1.32
53%
Possession
47%
7
Corners
1
Pre-match prediction
48.47%
Spezia
24.74%
X ←
26.8%
Empoli
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.74%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.93
1.48
-0.45
1.27
1.32
+0.05
xG dominance was balanced (1.48 – 1.32).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
