Serie B
· Regular Season - 31
March 17, 2026 21:00
✓Model correct — prediction Venezia
Match statistics
9
Shots on target
3
4.07
Actual xG
0.63
66%
Possession
34%
9
Corners
1
Pre-match prediction
74.66%
Venezia ←
17.98%
X
7.36%
Padova
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Venezia)
74.66%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.29
4.07
+1.78
0.56
0.63
+0.07
Venezia dominated by xG (4.07 vs 0.63).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
