Serie B
· Regular Season - 31
March 18, 2026 21:00
✓Model correct — prediction Pescara
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
4
0.90
Actual xG
0.86
58%
Possession
42%
2
Corners
1
Pre-match prediction
59.34%
Pescara ←
23.39%
X
17.27%
Virtus
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Pescara)
59.34%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.86
0.90
-0.96
0.57
0.86
+0.29
xG dominance was balanced (0.90 – 0.86).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
