Serie B
· Regular Season - 31
March 18, 2026 21:00
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
3
2.06
Actual xG
1.39
57%
Possession
43%
2
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
30.74%
Avellino ←
44.02%
X
25.25%
Sudtirol
we assigned to the actual result (Avellino)
30.74%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.63
2.06
+1.43
0.61
1.39
+0.78
Avellino dominated by xG (2.06 vs 1.39).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
