Serie B
· Regular Season - 31
March 18, 2026 21:00
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
1
2.02
Actual xG
0.55
48%
Possession
52%
4
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
45.7%
Carrarese ←
40.2%
X
14.11%
Sampdoria
we assigned to the actual result (Carrarese)
45.7%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.93
2.02
+1.09
0.31
0.55
+0.24
Carrarese dominated by xG (2.02 vs 0.55).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
