Super League
· Regular Season - 30
March 17, 2026 20:00
✗Model wrong — prediction FC ST. Gallen, result Pareggio
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
3
0.64
Actual xG
0.58
39%
Possession
61%
5
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
65.32%
FC
17.54%
X ←
17.15%
FC
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
17.54%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.44
0.64
-1.8
0.77
0.58
-0.19
xG dominance was balanced (0.64 – 0.58).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
