Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 7
March 19, 2026 00:00
Match statistics
9
Shots on target
3
1.98
Actual xG
1.48
57%
Possession
43%
7
Corners
7
Pre-match prediction
40.09%
Bahia ←
32.75%
X
27.16%
RB
we assigned to the actual result (Bahia)
40.09%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.18
1.98
+0.8
0.41
1.48
+1.07
Bahia dominated by xG (1.98 vs 1.48).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
