Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 7
March 19, 2026 00:00
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
3
1.71
Actual xG
0.60
52%
Possession
48%
6
Corners
1
Pre-match prediction
44.9%
Palmeiras ←
27.41%
X
27.69%
Botafogo
we assigned to the actual result (Palmeiras)
44.9%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.22
1.71
-1.51
0.88
0.60
-0.28
Palmeiras dominated by xG (1.71 vs 0.60).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
