Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 7
March 19, 2026 00:30
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
2
1.20
Actual xG
1.23
49%
Possession
51%
4
Corners
6
Pre-match prediction
40.48%
Atletico ←
30.34%
X
29.18%
Cruzeiro
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Paranaense)
40.48%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.66
1.20
-0.46
0.84
1.23
+0.39
xG dominance was balanced (1.20 – 1.23).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
