Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 7
March 19, 2026 01:00
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
4
1.56
Actual xG
1.07
69%
Possession
31%
7
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
34.79%
Mirassol
31.21%
X
34.0%
Coritiba ←
we assigned to the actual result (Coritiba)
34.0%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.28
1.56
+0.28
1.22
1.07
-0.15
Mirassol dominated by xG (1.56 vs 1.07).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
