Süper Lig
· Regular Season - 27
March 17, 2026 19:00
Match statistics
8
Shots on target
4
2.64
Actual xG
1.50
64%
Possession
36%
11
Corners
7
Pre-match prediction
54.39%
Fenerbahçe ←
27.64%
X
17.96%
Gaziantep
we assigned to the actual result (Fenerbahçe)
54.39%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.76
2.64
+0.88
1.22
1.50
+0.28
Fenerbahçe dominated by xG (2.64 vs 1.50).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
