Süper Lig
· Regular Season - 27
March 18, 2026 15:00
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
1
0.69
Actual xG
0.21
40%
Possession
60%
3
Corners
3
Pre-match prediction
36.26%
Alanyaspor ←
38.25%
X
25.49%
Kocaelispor
we assigned to the actual result (Alanyaspor)
36.26%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.90
0.69
-0.21
0.87
0.21
-0.66
Alanyaspor dominated by xG (0.69 vs 0.21).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
