Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 7
March 19, 2026 02:30
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
5
0.99
Actual xG
0.73
52%
Possession
48%
5
Corners
5
Pre-match prediction
34.51%
Vasco ←
30.51%
X
34.99%
Fluminense
we assigned to the actual result (Vasco DA Gama)
34.51%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.29
0.99
-0.3
1.34
0.73
-0.61
xG dominance was balanced (0.99 – 0.73).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
