Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 7
March 20, 2026 00:00
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
1
1.56
Actual xG
0.59
44%
Possession
56%
4
Corners
5
Pre-match prediction
41.17%
Gremio ←
29.33%
X
29.5%
Vitoria
we assigned to the actual result (Gremio)
41.17%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.00
1.56
-0.44
1.04
0.59
-0.45
Gremio dominated by xG (1.56 vs 0.59).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
