Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 7
March 20, 2026 01:00
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
1
0.73
Actual xG
0.63
65%
Possession
35%
7
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
47.9%
Flamengo ←
26.61%
X
25.5%
Remo
we assigned to the actual result (Flamengo)
47.9%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.85
0.73
-2.12
0.82
0.63
-0.19
xG dominance was balanced (0.73 – 0.63).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
