Europa League
· Round of 16
March 19, 2026 22:00
Match statistics
7
Shots on target
9
2.03
Actual xG
1.69
61%
Possession
39%
8
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
35.98%
AS
27.99%
X
36.03%
Bologna ←
we assigned to the actual result (Bologna)
36.03%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.91
2.03
+1.12
1.51
1.69
+0.18
AS Roma dominated by xG (2.03 vs 1.69).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
