Europa League
· Round of 16
March 19, 2026 22:00
Match statistics
11
Shots on target
2
3.00
Actual xG
0.26
62%
Possession
38%
4
Corners
1
Pre-match prediction
40.02%
Real ←
31.66%
X
28.32%
Panathinaikos
we assigned to the actual result (Real Betis)
40.02%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.12
3.00
+1.88
0.77
0.26
-0.51
Real Betis dominated by xG (3.00 vs 0.26).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
