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Conference League · Round of 16 March 19, 2026 19:45
AEK Athens FC
#3 · 13 pts
0 – 2
Final score
Celje
#13 · 10 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction AEK Athens FC, result Celje vince
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
3
0.98
Actual xG
1.21
43%
Possession
57%
11
Corners
1
Pre-match prediction
59.92%
AEK
17.26%
X
22.82%
Celje ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Celje) 22.82% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
AEK
4.50
0.98
-3.52
Celje
1.06
1.21
+0.15
xG dominance was balanced (0.98 – 1.21). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Strasbourg Strasbourg 6 16
2 Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 6 14
3 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 6 13
4 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 6 13
5 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 6 13
6 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 6 13
7 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 6 13
8 AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca 6 12
9 Lausanne Lausanne 6 11
10 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 6 10
11 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 6 10
12 Samsunspor Samsunspor 6 10
13 Celje Celje 6 10
14 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 6 10
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina 6 9
16 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 6 9
17 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 6 9
18 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 6 8
19 FC Noah FC Noah 6 8
20 Drita Drita 6 8
21 KuPS KuPS 6 7
22 Shkendija Shkendija 6 7
23 Zrinjski Zrinjski 6 7
24 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 6 7
25 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 6 7
26 Lincoln Red Imps FC Lincoln Red Imps FC 6 7
27 Dynamo Kyiv Dynamo Kyiv 6 6
28 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 6 6
29 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 6 6
30 Breidablik Breidablik 6 5
31 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 6 4
32 BK Hacken BK Hacken 6 3
33 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 6 3
34 Shelbourne Shelbourne 6 2
35 Aberdeen Aberdeen 6 2
36 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 6 1