Conference League
· Round of 16
March 19, 2026 19:45
Match statistics
1
Shots on target
7
0.76
Actual xG
1.67
49%
Possession
51%
2
Corners
5
Pre-match prediction
32.4%
Raków
24.14%
X
43.46%
Fiorentina ←
we assigned to the actual result (Fiorentina)
43.46%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.98
0.76
-0.22
2.59
1.67
-0.92
Fiorentina dominated by xG (1.67 vs 0.76).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.