Liga MX
· Clausura - 9
March 19, 2026 04:07
✓Model correct — prediction Guadalajara Chivas
Match statistics
16
Shots on target
1
5.17
Actual xG
0.11
76%
Possession
24%
12
Corners
0
Pre-match prediction
67.91%
Guadalajara ←
20.79%
X
11.31%
Leon
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Guadalajara Chivas)
67.91%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Guadalajara
1.96
5.17
+3.21
Leon
0.65
0.11
-0.54
Guadalajara Chivas dominated by xG (5.17 vs 0.11).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
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