Süper Lig
· Regular Season - 27
March 19, 2026 15:00
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
1
2.13
Actual xG
0.25
61%
Possession
39%
3
Corners
1
Pre-match prediction
32.78%
Kayserispor ←
33.63%
X
33.59%
Fatih
we assigned to the actual result (Kayserispor)
32.78%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.94
2.13
+1.19
1.26
0.25
-1.01
Kayserispor dominated by xG (2.13 vs 0.25).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
