Süper Lig
· Regular Season - 27
March 19, 2026 19:00
✓Model correct — prediction Beşiktaş
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
1
1.61
Actual xG
0.91
50%
Possession
50%
2
Corners
3
Pre-match prediction
67.65%
Beşiktaş ←
21.44%
X
10.91%
Kasımpaşa
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Beşiktaş)
67.65%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.25
1.61
-0.64
0.84
0.91
+0.07
Beşiktaş dominated by xG (1.61 vs 0.91).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
