2. Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 27
March 20, 2026 19:30
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
2
2.41
Actual xG
1.45
49%
Possession
51%
3
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
43.53%
Karlsruher ←
24.31%
X
32.16%
SpVgg
we assigned to the actual result (Karlsruher SC)
43.53%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
2.41
+0.93
1.64
1.45
-0.2
Karlsruher SC dominated by xG (2.41 vs 1.45).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.