Ligue 1
· Regular Season - 27
March 20, 2026 21:45
✓Model correct — prediction Lens
Match statistics
9
Shots on target
5
3.19
Actual xG
1.50
57%
Possession
43%
7
Corners
3
Pre-match prediction
85.16%
Lens ←
8.57%
X
6.27%
Angers
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Lens)
85.16%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.06
3.19
+0.13
0.41
1.50
+1.09
Lens dominated by xG (3.19 vs 1.50).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
