#7 · 49 pts

2 – 2

Final score

#3 · 61 pts

Match statistics

Shots on target

1.56

Actual xG

1.77

55%

Possession

45%

Corners

Pre-match prediction

31.89%

Bournemouth

30.26%

X ←

37.85%

Manchester

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 30.26% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Bournemouth

0.93

1.56

+0.63

Manchester

1.37

1.77

+0.4

xG dominance was balanced (1.56 – 1.77). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table