Serie A
· Regular Season - 30
March 20, 2026 19:30
✓Model correct — prediction Napoli
Match statistics
0
Shots on target
5
0.35
Actual xG
1.77
33%
Possession
67%
2
Corners
7
Pre-match prediction
18.91%
Cagliari
20.86%
X
60.23%
Napoli ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Napoli)
60.23%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.70
0.35
-0.35
1.92
1.77
-0.15
Napoli dominated by xG (1.77 vs 0.35).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
