Serie A
· Regular Season - 30
March 20, 2026 21:45
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
4
1.36
Actual xG
1.19
63%
Possession
37%
7
Corners
1
Pre-match prediction
47.3%
Genoa
26.67%
X
26.03%
Udinese ←
we assigned to the actual result (Udinese)
26.03%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.46
1.36
-0.1
0.81
1.19
+0.38
xG dominance was balanced (1.36 – 1.19).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
