La Liga
· Regular Season - 29
March 20, 2026 22:00
Match statistics
10
Shots on target
4
3.51
Actual xG
1.18
35%
Possession
65%
4
Corners
5
Pre-match prediction
54.14%
Villarreal ←
20.23%
X
25.62%
Real
we assigned to the actual result (Villarreal)
54.14%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.23
3.51
+1.28
1.31
1.18
-0.13
Villarreal dominated by xG (3.51 vs 1.18).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.