Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 27
March 20, 2026 21:30
Match statistics
9
Shots on target
2
2.39
Actual xG
0.78
50%
Possession
50%
1
Corners
3
Pre-match prediction
43.51%
RB ←
21.16%
X
35.33%
1899
we assigned to the actual result (RB Leipzig)
43.51%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.76
2.39
+0.63
2.07
0.78
-1.29
RB Leipzig dominated by xG (2.39 vs 0.78).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
