Bundesliga
· Championship Group - 24
March 20, 2026 20:30
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
1
0.49
Actual xG
1.31
47%
Possession
53%
4
Corners
1
Pre-match prediction
46.52%
Sturm
25.88%
X ←
27.6%
Red
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.88%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.52
0.49
-1.03
1.26
1.31
+0.05
Red Bull Salzburg dominated by xG (1.31 vs 0.49).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
