Premier League
· Regular Season - 31
March 21, 2026 17:00
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
5
3.24
Actual xG
1.24
55%
Possession
45%
6
Corners
6
Pre-match prediction
50.39%
Fulham ←
33.26%
X
16.35%
Burnley
we assigned to the actual result (Fulham)
50.39%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.19
3.24
+2.05
0.72
1.24
+0.52
Fulham dominated by xG (3.24 vs 1.24).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
