Premier League
· Regular Season - 31
March 21, 2026 19:30
Match statistics
9
Shots on target
4
1.05
Actual xG
1.11
36%
Possession
64%
3
Corners
9
Pre-match prediction
40.29%
Everton ←
27.49%
X
32.22%
Chelsea
we assigned to the actual result (Everton)
40.29%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.47
1.05
-0.42
1.40
1.11
-0.28
xG dominance was balanced (1.05 – 1.11).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
