Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 8
March 21, 2026 21:00
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
3
1.45
Actual xG
1.18
60%
Possession
40%
11
Corners
6
Pre-match prediction
40.15%
RB
29.73%
X
30.12%
Botafogo ←
we assigned to the actual result (Botafogo)
30.12%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.85
1.45
-0.4
0.94
1.18
+0.24
xG dominance was balanced (1.45 – 1.18).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
