Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 8
March 21, 2026 23:30
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
5
0.71
Actual xG
1.69
56%
Possession
44%
3
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
50.65%
Fluminense ←
24.19%
X
25.16%
Atletico-MG
we assigned to the actual result (Fluminense)
50.65%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.86
0.71
-2.15
0.92
1.69
+0.77
Atletico-MG dominated by xG (1.69 vs 0.71).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
