2. Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 27
March 21, 2026 14:00
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
2
2.96
Actual xG
0.52
49%
Possession
51%
11
Corners
1
Pre-match prediction
41.58%
1. ←
25.28%
X
33.15%
1.
we assigned to the actual result (1. FC Nürnberg)
41.58%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.50
2.96
+1.46
1.44
0.52
-0.92
1. FC Nürnberg dominated by xG (2.96 vs 0.52).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.